Bifalgorithm post · Brisk · Chapter 1
How are event probabilities computed from outcome probabilities?
How are event probabilities computed from outcome probabilities? (Brisk · Chapter 1) — "The easiest way to think about probability measures is to start with th…
Ideas in this flowchart
- Probability measures are easiest to understand by starting with outcome probabilities.
- Each outcome has a specific probability of occurring.
- The probability of an event is obtained by adding the probabilities of its outcomes.
- Example: the All-time Idol competition assigns probabilities to four contestants.
- Kelly Clarkson: 0.2; Fantasia Barrino: 0.2; Carrie Underwood: 0.1; David Cook: 0.5.
- For event F, a woman wins: Pr(F) = 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.1 = 0.5.
- For event P, a rock singer wins: Pr(P) = 0.2 + 0.5 = 0.7.
