Bifalgorithm post · Brisk · Chapter 1
How is probability calculated when all outcomes are equally likely?
How is probability calculated when all outcomes are equally likely? (Brisk · Chapter 1) — "A common special case occurs when all outcomes are equally likely. T…
Ideas in this flowchart
- Probability when all outcomes are equally likely
- The shortcut applies only when every possible outcome has the same probability.
- If there are N outcomes, where N = |Ω|, then Pr(A) = |A|/N.
- The probability depends on the event's cardinality divided by the total number of outcomes.
- Common contexts with equally likely outcomes
- Rolling dice, flipping coins, and dealing cards can produce equally likely outcomes.
- Encryption keys can be generated by choosing equally likely possibilities.
- Alternate network routing paths can be selected with equal probability.
- Enemy starting positions in a first-person shooter level can be determined randomly.
- For a fair deck, the probability of drawing a face card is Pr(F) = 12/52 = .231.
- The shortcut cannot be used when outcomes are not equally frequent.
- A password beginning with q does not necessarily have probability 1/26.
- Solving such a problem requires knowing how often each alphabet letter occurs.
