Bifalgorithm post · Brisk · Chapter 1

How does Bayes’ Theorem make difficult probabilities easier to estimate?

How does Bayes’ Theorem make difficult probabilities easier to estimate? (Brisk · Chapter 1) — "Another trick that helps compute probabilities in practice is B…

Ideas in this flowchart

  • Le théorème de Bayes permet de calculer des probabilités en pratique.
  • La formule se construit à partir des probabilités conditionnelles.
  • Pr(A | K) = Pr(A ∩ K) / Pr(K)
  • En échangeant A et K, on obtient Pr(K | A) = Pr(K ∩ A) / Pr(A).
  • La combinaison de ces relations par l’algèbre donne Pr(A | K) = Pr(K | A) Pr(A) / Pr(K).
  • Cette équation a de nombreuses applications en informatique et en statistique.
  • Elle exprime Pr(A | K), souvent difficile à estimer, à partir de Pr(K | A), souvent plus facile à estimer.
Feed/

How does Bayes’ Theorem make difficult probabilities easier to estimate?

Channel

Brisk

1 page

"Another trick that helps compute probabilities in practice is Bayes’ Theorem. We’ve defined Pr( A | K ) as Pr ( A ∩ K ) Pr ( K ) , and by swapping the letters we get Pr( K | A ) = Pr ( K ∩ A ) Pr ( A ) . Combining these with a little bit of algebra yields: Pr ( A | K ) = Pr ( K | A ) Pr ( A ) Pr ( K ) Now this is a very, very powerful equation that has a multitude of uses throughout computer science and statistics. What makes it powerful is that it allows us to express Pr( A | K ), a quantity often very difficult to estimate, in terms of Pr( K | A ), which is often much easier."

Flowchart preview
Series cover
👍
0
0 comments0 shares

Sign in to view and post comments.